TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's directional move by May 31, 2AM ET. These odds often diverge from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macro factors traders believe will influence BNB over the coming weeks. While spot price reflects immediate supply and demand, prediction market odds represent a probabilistic forecast of where BNB will trade at resolution. Comparing the two can reveal whether markets are pricing in bullish or bearish momentum relative to today's levels.
On Polymarket, the BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET event is priced as a binary outcome with traders buying and selling shares representing each side. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective conviction of Polymarket participants about whether BNB will move in the specified direction by the resolution timestamp. Share prices range from near zero to one dollar, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating liquidity and trader uncertainty. As new information emerges or market conditions shift, prices adjust in real time to reflect evolving consensus.
The BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether BNB's price meets the specified directional threshold. Resolution is based on verified price data captured at the exact resolution time. Once the outcome is confirmed, winning shares are paid out at full value and losing shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor the approach to resolution and ensure they understand the precise price source and threshold that will be used to settle the market.
BNB price action through May 31, 2AM ET could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting major exchanges, broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic data, and shifts in institutional or retail trading volume. Token burns, exchange upgrades, or changes to BNB's utility within the Binance ecosystem may also drive directional moves. Geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts, and crypto-specific news such as exchange listings or delistings could create volatility. Traders should monitor these catalysts closely as they may significantly impact whether BNB reaches the specified threshold by resolution.