TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about BNB's price direction by May 31, 12PM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price BNB's immediate value, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums. Comparing Polymarket odds to traditional analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish catalysts, regulatory risks, or macro headwinds. Discrepancies between prediction odds and consensus forecasts may signal mispricing or emerging information not yet reflected in spot markets.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the outcome is finalized based on BNB's price action at the specified time. The resolution mechanism compares BNB's price at 12PM ET on May 31 against a reference baseline to determine whether the up or down outcome has occurred. Once the market closes, all winning shares are credited and losing positions are settled. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and any official announcements from Polymarket to ensure clarity on how the final price will be determined and verified.
BNB's price direction by May 31 could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting the exchange or BNB token utility, macroeconomic shifts in cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin and Ethereum price momentum, and broader crypto adoption news. Staking or burning events, exchange listing changes, or updates to BNB's use cases in the Binance ecosystem may also drive volatility. Geopolitical or monetary policy shifts could impact risk appetite for altcoins. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and Binance announcements to anticipate directional moves ahead of the May 31 resolution.