TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus on BNB's directional movement by May 31, 11AM ET, but differ from spot price expectations because they price in uncertainty and time decay. Spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, while prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment and event risk. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts differently than traditional analysis suggests.
On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET is priced as a binary outcome with two sides: BNB Up and BNB Down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market probability reflects accumulated trades and order-book depth. As new information emerges—regulatory news, technical levels, or macro events—prices adjust continuously to balance supply and demand until the May 31 resolution.
Key catalysts include Binance regulatory developments, Bitcoin and broader crypto market momentum, macroeconomic policy announcements, and BNB-specific tokenomics or ecosystem news. Technical support and resistance levels will influence short-term price action. Staking rewards, exchange volume trends, and competing layer-1 blockchain performance can also sway trader sentiment. Major exchange listings or delistings, security incidents, or shifts in institutional adoption could trigger sharp repricing in the final weeks before May 31.