TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's direction by May 31, 10PM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional conviction. Comparing Polymarket odds to traditional analyst sentiment or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish catalysts, regulatory risks, or macro headwinds that spot traders may not yet fully reflect. This gap often signals where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Traders profit by buying low-priced outcomes they believe are undervalued or selling overvalued positions. Liquidity, order flow, and new information continuously adjust prices. The market remains open until Jun 1, 2026, allowing traders to enter, exit, or hedge positions right up to resolution.
The market resolves at Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing BNB's price at the specified snapshot time against a predefined reference level. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact reference price and data source are established at market creation to ensure objective, verifiable settlement. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline as the outcome is confirmed and payouts are distributed to winning positions.
BNB price direction through May 31, 10PM ET could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting major exchanges, broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic data, and on-chain activity metrics. Staking or token-burn events, partnership news, or changes to Binance's fee structure may also shift trader positioning. Geopolitical events, central-bank policy shifts, and large liquidations on leveraged positions can trigger sudden volatility. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders adjust their Polymarket positions as new information emerges.