TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader conviction about BNB's direction by May 31, 10AM ET, often diverging from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate news and technicals, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in regulatory headwinds, macro shifts, or BNB-specific catalysts that spot traders may be overlooking or overweighting.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy YES or NO shares reflecting their belief in BNB's direction by the resolution timestamp. The price of each share moves between 0 and 1 cent based on order flow and liquidity. Higher YES prices indicate stronger market confidence in an up move, while higher NO prices suggest bearish positioning. Polymarket's automated market maker adjusts prices continuously, allowing traders to enter or exit positions until the market closes at May 31, 2026.
The BNB Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET market resolves at May 31, 2026. Resolution hinges on BNB's price level at that specific timestamp, comparing it to the strike price established at market creation. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the outcome is confirmed and settled on Polymarket. The exact price source and settlement process are defined by the market terms, ensuring a clear binary outcome for all participants.
BNB price action through May 31 could be shaped by Binance regulatory developments, broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin momentum, and macroeconomic shifts. Exchange-specific news—such as compliance updates or product launches—often drives BNB volatility. DeFi ecosystem health, staking demand, and token burn announcements can also influence direction. Geopolitical or monetary policy surprises may trigger sector-wide moves. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates, and technical levels can gauge whether prediction market odds are pricing in these catalysts fairly or leaving room for repricing.