TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on BNB's direction by May 31, 2026, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and on-chain metrics. Market odds aggregate real-money bets and adjust continuously as new information emerges. Spot price expectations often lag market pricing or diverge based on analyst bias. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in catalysts or risks that traditional analysts have overlooked, offering a contrarian signal for directional conviction.
The market resolves at May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by BNB's price action at the specified time on May 30, 9PM ET. The outcome hinges on whether BNB closes above or below a predefined reference price established at market creation. Once the resolution timestamp passes, the market settles based on verified price data, and winning shares are redeemed at full value while losing shares expire worthless. Traders should confirm the exact reference price and data source in the market details before trading.
BNB's direction by May 30 could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting the exchange or crypto broadly, Bitcoin and Ethereum price momentum, macroeconomic data, and shifts in institutional trading flows. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale accumulation patterns may signal conviction. Major news—exchange listings, security incidents, or policy changes—can trigger sharp repricing. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also create volatility clusters. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate market moves before they're fully priced into Polymarket odds.