TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Volume:
$4,077

BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's directional movement during that specific four-hour window. These odds often diverge from broader spot price forecasts because they isolate a narrow timeframe and require traders to commit capital to a binary outcome. Spot price analysts and technical traders may focus on longer-term trends, while prediction market participants price in intraday volatility, news catalysts, and market microstructure unique to May 30th's 12:00PM–4:00PM ET window. The prediction market odds thus serve as a real-time gauge of crowd conviction for that exact interval.

On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell orders; as more capital flows into the "Up" side, its price rises and the "Down" price falls proportionally. Prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with the spread between them indicating market certainty. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market resolves, and the final settlement price is determined by the actual BNB price movement during the specified window.

The market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing BNB's price at the start of the 12:00PM ET window to its price at the close of the 4:00PM ET window on May 30th. If BNB closes higher than it opened during that interval, the "Up" outcome wins; if it closes lower, "Down" wins. The exact price source and any tie-breaking rules are specified in the market's terms. Once the window closes and prices are finalized, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

BNB's price during that four-hour window could be influenced by major cryptocurrency market moves, regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic data releases, or shifts in Bitcoin and Ethereum sentiment. Binance-specific news—such as updates on compliance, token burns, or platform developments—often drives BNB volatility. Intraday technical levels and options expiry times may also trigger sharp moves. Additionally, broader market events like Federal Reserve communications or geopolitical developments can create sudden directional pressure. Traders should monitor crypto news feeds and economic calendars closely as May 30th approaches to anticipate potential catalysts within that specific window.