TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Volume:
$767

BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether the price of BNB will be higher or lower at the end of a specific four-hour window on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by comparing the BNB price at 4:00PM ET against the price at 12:00PM ET on that date, using Chainlink's BNB-USD data feed as the official source. Watch for significant market movements or news announcements during the May 29 trading window, as volatility in that specific timeframe will directly determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregate trader expectations about BNB's directional movement during that specific four-hour window. Unlike spot price forecasts from analysts or technical indicators, which estimate absolute price targets, these odds isolate the probability of upward versus downward movement within a defined timeframe. Traders price in volatility, upcoming news, and historical patterns to set odds. Comparing market odds to analyst sentiment or historical volatility can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than traditional technical analysis suggests for May 29.

On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either the "Up" or "Down" outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side. As traders deposit liquidity and place orders, the price adjusts automatically. Share prices range from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%), with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding until resolution. The market price at any moment represents the collective belief of all active participants about which direction BNB will move during that window.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution occurs after the four-hour trading window (12:00PM–4:00PM ET on May 29) closes. The outcome is determined by comparing BNB's price at the start of the window to its price at the end. If BNB closes higher than it opened, the "Up" outcome wins; if it closes lower, "Down" wins. The exact price source and settlement methodology are specified in the market's terms. Once the window closes and data is confirmed, the market settles automatically, and winning traders receive their payout based on their share holdings.

Several catalysts could influence BNB's direction during the May 29 window. Regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, major Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and macroeconomic data releases (inflation reports, Fed statements) often trigger altcoin volatility. BNB-specific news—such as exchange updates, token burns, or partnership announcements—can drive directional momentum. Market-wide sentiment shifts, liquidation cascades, and options expiry events may also create sharp intraday moves. Technical levels and support/resistance zones established before the window opens will influence where traders expect BNB to trade, shaping odds on the prediction market leading up to May 29.