TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during the one-hour candle beginning May 29 at 11PM ET. Currently on Polymarket, both outcomes stand at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the closing price relative to the opening price on Binance's BNB/USDT pair, with the final settlement occurring after the one-hour candle closes on May 30.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on BNB's directional move by May 29, 11PM ET, whereas spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, or on-chain metrics. The prediction market odds incorporate real-money incentives and aggregated trader conviction, often diverging from casual analyst sentiment. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to broader market commentary or social media expectations can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than the wider crypto community.
The market resolves at May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by BNB's price movement relative to the specified threshold at the exact time of 11PM ET on May 29. Traders should monitor the official resolution criteria and any clarifications from Polymarket as the event date approaches to ensure they understand which data source and pricing method will be used to settle the outcome.
BNB price action leading up to May 29, 11PM ET could be influenced by Binance platform developments, broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, regulatory announcements, and macroeconomic events. On-chain activity, exchange inflows or outflows, and major news regarding the Binance Smart Chain ecosystem may also drive volatility. Traders should monitor crypto news outlets, social media, and technical levels to anticipate shifts in market conviction reflected in the prediction market odds.