TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

Volume:
$6,702

BNB Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - March 30, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$565 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$570 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$530 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$520 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$525 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$535 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$510 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$515 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$555 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$560 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$540 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$545 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$550 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$605 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$575 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$580 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$585 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$590 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$595 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$615 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
kalshi

$620 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

$650 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

$700 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB price moves up or down on March 30, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle close vs. open comparison on Binance BNB/USDT, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average at a specific threshold. The two platforms employ fundamentally different data sources, measurement windows, and resolution mechanics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two platforms use incompatible data sources (Binance spot vs. CF Benchmarks index), different measurement windows (1-hour candle vs. 60-second rolling average), and different resolution structures (binary Up/Down vs. 31 tiered thresholds). Outcomes may diverge even if BNB price moves in the same direction.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket Up and Kalshi Yes are equivalent outcomes. Polymarket depends on Binance BNB/USDT candle mechanics; Kalshi depends on CF Benchmarks index calculation. Price action that satisfies one may not satisfy the other. Verify both data sources independently at 5 PM ET on March 30, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance BNB/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close price >= open price for the candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 30. Uses single exchange data point. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 31 separate Yes/No outcomes, each tied to a distinct price threshold ($509.99 to $704.99). Resolves Yes if CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second simple average BEFORE 5 PM EDT exceeds the threshold. Uses third-party index, not spot exchange. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold]...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.