TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET

Volume:
$10,068

BNB Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 30, 2026

Closed: Mar 29, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - March 29, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

$514.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$555 to 559.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$570 to 574.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$645 to 649.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$650 to 654.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$655 to 659.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$660 to 664.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$665 to 669.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$670 to 674.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$675 to 679.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$680 to 684.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$685 to 689.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$690 to 694.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$695 to 699.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB price moves up or down on March 29, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle close vs. open comparison on Binance BNB/USDT, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average. The two platforms employ fundamentally different data sources, methodologies, and resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different data sources (Binance BNB/USDT spot candle vs. CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI index), different time windows (1-hour candle vs. 60-second average), and different resolution logic (binary directional vs. 40 discrete price bands). This creates potential for non-aligned outcomes.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets will resolve identically. Polymarket's binary Up/Down outcome depends on Binance candle open/close; Kalshi's outcome depends on which of 40 price bands CF Benchmarks' index falls into. If you are hedging across platforms, verify the data source and methodology match your risk exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution. Resolves Up if BNB/USDT close >= open for the 1-hour candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 29, 2026. Data source: Binance BNB/USDT pair. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 40 discrete Yes/No outcomes based on CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average price at 5 PM EDT. Covers price ranges from below $515 to above $704.99 in $5 increments. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between [price range], then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.