TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus on BNB's directional movement by June 9, 1PM ET, often diverging from current spot price sentiment. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking expectations and longer-term positioning. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and analyst consensus may signal either market inefficiency or information asymmetry worth investigating.
On Polymarket, the BNB Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET event is priced as a binary outcome contract, with traders buying and selling shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by market participants, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Liquidity depth and order flow determine how quickly prices move in response to new information or large trades.
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by BNB's price action at the specified time on June 9, 1PM ET. The outcome hinges on whether BNB trades above or below a predetermined reference price at that exact moment. Traders should monitor the event specifications closely to understand the exact pricing source and methodology used for settlement. Clarity on these details is essential for making informed trading decisions.
BNB price action leading to June 9 could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting major exchanges, broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, macroeconomic data releases, and on-chain activity metrics. Staking or governance updates specific to the BNB ecosystem may also drive volatility. Additionally, major news regarding competing layer-one blockchains or DeFi trends could shift trader positioning. Monitoring these catalysts helps predict how odds may shift before market resolution.