TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about BNB's direction by Jun 8, 2026, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. The market odds on Polymarket may diverge from traditional analyst sentiment if traders perceive different risk or information asymmetries. Comparing the implied probability to analyst consensus and historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader crypto market expectations.
The market resolves at Jun 8, 2026. The outcome is determined by BNB's price direction at the specified time on June 7, 10PM ET. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive payouts proportional to their position size, while incorrect predictions result in losses. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference price is confirmed, settling all open positions and concluding trading on this event.
BNB price direction could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting major exchanges, broader crypto market momentum, Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings, macroeconomic data releases, and on-chain activity metrics. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading. Major news regarding Binance's business operations, token burns, or ecosystem partnerships could shift trader sentiment. Monitoring these catalysts helps predict how odds may evolve leading up to resolution.