TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about BNB's direction by Jun 5, 2026, often diverging from current spot prices and analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing the Polymarket odds to traditional analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views. This comparison helps identify whether prediction market participants are more or less optimistic than the broader crypto community.
On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - June 5, 12AM ET is priced through an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell binary outcome shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at the displayed odds.
The market resolves at Jun 5, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether BNB's price has moved up or down from its reference level. The specific resolution criteria and data source are established by the market creator and verified at settlement. Once the outcome is confirmed, traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline, after which no further trading is possible.
BNB price action before Jun 5, 2026 could be driven by Binance ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility, macroeconomic events, and shifts in DeFi activity. Major exchange updates, token burns, or changes to Binance Smart Chain adoption could influence sentiment. Broader crypto market rallies or crashes often drag altcoins like BNB along. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also create price pressure. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and news sentiment can help predict which direction traders will position ahead of resolution.