TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about BNB's price direction, which may differ from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in expectations over the full time horizon until Jun 4, 2026. Comparing the market's implied probability to technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or macroeconomic sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of the resolution window.
On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the proportion of capital allocated to each side; as new trades execute, prices adjust in real time. Traders profit by correctly predicting BNB's direction at the specified time, with payouts determined by the final outcome at resolution.
The BNB Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by BNB's price movement relative to its opening price at the 9AM ET timestamp on June 4, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether BNB closes higher or lower than its starting level during that specific window, with the result finalized once the reference price is confirmed.
BNB's price direction through June 4, 9AM ET could be influenced by Binance ecosystem announcements, regulatory developments affecting major crypto exchanges, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic data releases, and shifts in risk sentiment. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows or whale transactions, staking or burning events, and broader market volatility spikes can also drive short-term directional moves. Traders monitor these catalysts to adjust their positions ahead of the resolution window.