TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's price direction by Jun 4, 2026. These odds often diverge from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and longer-term positioning. Comparing market odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. The current odds represent a consensus of real money bets, making them a useful gauge of collective conviction relative to passive spot price observations.
The BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7AM ET market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing BNB's price at the specified moment against the reference level established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the outcome is confirmed, settling all open positions on the platform.
BNB price direction by Jun 4, 2026 could be influenced by major crypto market movements, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader ecosystem, macroeconomic data, and shifts in risk appetite. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and outflows, whale transactions, and staking activity can signal accumulation or distribution. News about Binance's business operations, token burns, or ecosystem developments may also impact trader positioning and market odds.