TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about BNB's price direction at a specific moment, whereas spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or analyst forecasts. The market odds represent aggregated belief across many traders with real financial stakes, while traditional spot price analysis relies on historical patterns and fundamental signals. Comparing the two can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing in more bullish or bearish sentiment than what mainstream analysts or on-chain data suggest for the June 4 timeframe.
The BNB Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing BNB's price at the specified 11AM ET snapshot on June 4, 2026 against a reference baseline. The outcome that matches the actual price movement at that exact time will be declared correct, and winning shares will be redeemed at full value. Traders should note the precise timing and reference point to ensure they understand how their position will be settled.
BNB price direction by June 4 could be influenced by major cryptocurrency market movements, regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action, macroeconomic data releases, and developments in decentralized finance or blockchain adoption. Binance-specific news such as compliance updates or product launches may also impact sentiment. Technical levels and support or resistance zones could trigger momentum shifts. Traders monitoring this event should watch crypto news feeds, on-chain activity, and broader market sentiment as catalysts that could sway the outcome closer to the resolution date.