TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices because they factor in volatility, upcoming catalysts, and time decay. While spot exchanges show the price right now, this market embeds forward-looking expectations about directional movement over the next several months. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or technical analysis can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism or caution relative to on-chain and macroeconomic signals.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the crowd's consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The order book matches buyers and sellers in real time, so prices adjust continuously as new information arrives or sentiment shifts. You can place limit or market orders to enter a position, and your profit or loss is determined by the final resolution price relative to your entry cost.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, one outcome will be marked correct and the other incorrect, and all shares in the winning outcome will be redeemed at full value. Traders holding the correct side will receive their payout, while those on the losing side will receive nothing.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto market, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum momentum, changes in Binance's business outlook, macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite, and technical breakouts or breakdowns on the daily chart. Geopolitical developments, central bank policy shifts, and large on-chain transactions can also trigger repricing. Traders monitor social sentiment, exchange inflows and outflows, and derivative funding rates to anticipate directional moves before they materialize in this market.