TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregate trader conviction about BNB's direction by the June 3 deadline. These odds often diverge from spot price momentum or analyst forecasts because they incorporate tail risk, funding costs, and longer-term sentiment. Comparing the market's implied probability to current technical analysis or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in a consensus view or hedging against unexpected volatility.
On Polymarket, the BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET event is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: BNB Up or BNB Down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate. The current odds show an even split, meaning traders see roughly equal likelihood of either direction. Prices adjust continuously as new trades flow in and market sentiment shifts.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by BNB's price direction at the specified 3PM ET snapshot on June 3, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether BNB trades above or below its reference price at that exact moment. Traders should monitor the approach to this deadline and be aware of any scheduled announcements or market events that could influence BNB's price action in the final hours.
BNB price direction could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting the exchange or crypto markets broadly, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic data, and shifts in DeFi activity. Staking or governance updates, token burns, or changes in trading volume on Binance could also sway sentiment. Traders should watch for Fed policy signals, institutional adoption news, and any security or compliance issues that might affect BNB's perceived value heading into the June 3 snapshot.