TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on a specific outcome, which often diverges from casual price forecasts or analyst sentiment. While spot price expectations may be influenced by technical analysis or news cycles, this market aggregates real financial commitments from participants who profit or lose based on accuracy. The odds here represent a crowd-sourced probability estimate backed by actual capital, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against your own conviction or other forward-looking indicators.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares corresponding to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's likelihood, with the two sides summing to 100 percent. As new trades flow in, the probabilities adjust in real time, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most current expectations about BNB's direction by the specified time.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the event window closes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The result is determined by whether BNB's price at 7PM ET on June 28 closes higher or lower than its opening level for that day. Once the final price is confirmed, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who backed the correct outcome and returning nothing to those on the losing side.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic data releases, movements in Bitcoin or Ethereum that often drag altcoins along, and any news specific to Binance or the BNB ecosystem. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can also trigger sharp reversals. Intraday volatility spikes around US market opens, economic reports, or unexpected geopolitical events may drive rapid repricing. Monitoring these factors helps traders anticipate shifts in the odds leading up to the 7PM ET settlement.