TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's price direction, often diverging from spot market sentiment because they incorporate longer-term positioning and risk appetite. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in broader conviction about directional movement through the resolution window. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain signals can reveal whether traders are pricing in catalysts that spot markets have not yet fully reflected. This divergence often signals where informed traders see opportunity or disagreement with current pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on BNB's verified price at that time. The resolution is determined by comparing the closing price against the reference level, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact timing and price source are set by the platform to ensure fair and transparent settlement for all participants.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum momentum, changes in Binance operational news, and macroeconomic events that influence risk appetite. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can trigger rapid repricing as traders adjust positions ahead of key dates. On-chain metrics, exchange inflows or outflows, and derivative funding rates may also signal conviction among sophisticated traders. Any unexpected news about the BNB ecosystem or sudden volatility in correlated assets could accelerate movement in either direction before the deadline.