TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's price direction, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates forward-looking sentiment, technical analysis, and macroeconomic views from a diverse participant base. The odds can signal whether the crowd expects a move that differs from current momentum, making them a useful cross-check against simple price-trend extrapolation or analyst consensus.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; as more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous price discovery mechanism means the odds update in real time as new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, creating a dynamic reflection of expected BNB price movement.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether BNB's price has moved up or down during the specified window. Once the resolution window closes, the outcome is determined and verified, allowing winning positions to be settled and payouts distributed to traders who correctly predicted the direction.
BNB price action is sensitive to broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, regulatory announcements, and Binance-specific news. Macroeconomic data, central bank communications, and risk-on or risk-off shifts in equities can also influence trader positioning. Technical levels, options expiry, and large liquidations on leveraged positions may trigger sharp moves. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and social sentiment can help you anticipate shifts in this market's odds before the resolution window closes.