TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will BNB/USDT close up or flat on June 27, 8PM ET?

Volume:
$309

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 27 at 8PM ET. Resolution depends on the final close and open prices from Binance's official BNB/USDT trading pair, with no alternative exchanges or pairs considered.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria referencing the same Binance BNB/USDT data source with no divergence in logic, timing, or settlement methodology.Primary resolution logic: Binance BNB/USDT pair official 1-hour candle data (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 8PM ET is finalized
  • Market resolves to Up if Close Price >= Open Price for that candle
  • Market resolves to Down if Close Price < Open Price for that candle
  • Only Binance BNB/USDT pair data is used; no alternative exchanges or trading pairs are considered
  • Close and Open prices are displayed at the top of the Binance 1H chart for the specified candle

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Price equality: If close price equals open price, the market resolves to Up (per the >= condition)
  • Data finalization: Resolution uses only finalized candle data; incomplete or real-time prices are not used
  • Exchange-specific pricing: Only Binance BNB/USDT pricing is valid; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 8PM ET is fully closed and finalized on BinanceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about where BNB will trade at market close, independent of current spot price. If this market shows strong conviction toward one direction, it suggests traders expect momentum or a catalyst to push price beyond equilibrium. Spot prices reflect live supply and demand; prediction odds embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk hedging. A gap between current price and implied direction signals traders are pricing in near-term volatility or news flow. These markets often lead spot moves because they reward accurate directional calls with real financial incentive.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Liquidity depth, user base composition, and fee structures vary between platforms, causing traders to price the same outcome differently. Polymarket may attract larger institutional flow, while Predict draws retail participation, shifting the marginal buyer's conviction. Timing of order flow, platform UI friction, and withdrawal mechanics also influence how quickly each market reprices on news. Small spreads often close within minutes; larger gaps may persist if one platform has thinner liquidity or slower price discovery. Arbitrageurs profit by exploiting these differences, gradually aligning the two.

Regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin volatility, and macroeconomic data releases can shift trader conviction sharply. Exchange-specific news—such as Binance compliance updates or competitive pressures—may also trigger repricing. Technical levels, options expiry, and large on-chain transfers can act as catalysts. Sentiment swings on social media and derivatives funding rates often precede spot moves, giving prediction markets early warning. Traders monitor these signals continuously, so this market will reprice in real time as new information emerges.