TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will BNB/USDT close up or flat on June 27, 6PM ET?

Volume:
$781

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 27, 2024 at 6PM ET. Resolution depends on the final close and open prices from Binance's official BNB/USDT trading pair, with 'Up' awarded if close >= open, otherwise 'Down'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: close price >= open price for the BNB/USDT 1H candle beginning June 27, 6PM ET on Binance resolves to 'Up'; otherwise 'Down'.Primary resolution logic: Binance official BNB/USDT trading pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT), specifically the 1H candle chart display

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins at June 27, 2024, 6PM ET on Binance BNB/USDT
  • Wait for the candle to close and data to finalize
  • Compare the close price (C) to the open price (O) for that candle
  • If close >= open, resolve to 'Up'
  • If close < open, resolve to 'Down'
  • Use only Binance BNB/USDT pair data; ignore other exchanges or trading pairs

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie (close equals open): Resolves to 'Up' per the >= condition in the resolution criteria
  • Data finalization delay: Resolution occurs only after the 1H candle is fully closed and Binance data is finalized; markets should not settle until this point
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: Not explicitly addressed in rules; if Binance data becomes unavailable, resolution may require market adjudication or cancellation per platform policy
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 6PM ET closes and Binance finalizes the candle data, typically within minutes of the 7PM ET candle closeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The BNB price movement market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Predict, capturing real-time consensus on whether BNB will close higher or lower by the resolution deadline. This dashboard surfaces the current odds from both venues, letting you compare how each platform's community is pricing the directional move. Cross-platform tracking reveals whether consensus is firm or fragmented—when both platforms converge on similar probabilities, conviction tends to be higher. You can monitor live shifts in trader positioning as new information emerges, giving you a window into collective market expectations for BNB's near-term trajectory.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader cohorts, liquidity depths, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity or more active market makers, tightening spreads and anchoring odds closer to consensus. Predict might see smaller order flow or different user demographics, allowing temporary mispricings to persist. Geographic and regulatory differences also matter: traders in certain regions may favor one venue over another. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when the spread widens beyond transaction costs, incentivizing traders to exploit the gap and eventually narrow it.