TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 27, 2024 at 6PM ET. Resolution depends on the final close and open prices from Binance's official BNB/USDT trading pair, with 'Up' awarded if close >= open, otherwise 'Down'.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader cohorts, liquidity depths, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity or more active market makers, tightening spreads and anchoring odds closer to consensus. Predict might see smaller order flow or different user demographics, allowing temporary mispricings to persist. Geographic and regulatory differences also matter: traders in certain regions may favor one venue over another. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when the spread widens beyond transaction costs, incentivizing traders to exploit the gap and eventually narrow it.