TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will BNB/USDT close up or flat on June 27 at 5AM ET?

Volume:
$1,707

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 6:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$44,802
$1,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 27 at 5AM ET. Resolution is determined by comparing the close and open prices from Binance's official BNB/USDT trading pair, with 'Up' awarded if close >= open, and 'Down' if close < open.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Up if close >= open for the specified 1H candle, Down otherwise, sourced exclusively from Binance BNB/USDT.Primary resolution logic: Binance official BNB/USDT trading pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 5:00 AM ET
  • Retrieve the open price (O) and close price (C) from Binance BNB/USDT 1H chart
  • Resolve to 'Up' if C >= O
  • Resolve to 'Down' if C < O
  • Use only finalized candle data from Binance; no alternative exchanges or trading pairs

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle Finalization Timing: Resolution occurs only after the 1-hour candle is fully closed and finalized on Binance. Partial or in-progress candle data is not used.
  • Exact Tie (Close = Open): When close price equals open price, the market resolves to 'Up' per the >= condition in the resolution criteria.
  • Exchange-Specific Data: Only Binance BNB/USDT pair data is valid. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs (e.g., other DEXs or spot markets) are explicitly excluded.
  • Data Integrity Issues: If Binance data is unavailable, corrupted, or disputed at resolution time, the market operator must declare the resolution source and use the official Binance API or chart display as the tiebreaker.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the 1-hour candle closes at 6:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024, once Binance finalizes the candle data.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader beliefs about future price movement, not current spot prices. When this market shows strong odds for BNB Up, it signals collective expectation of upward momentum by the resolution date, independent of today's trading level. Spot markets price immediate supply and demand; prediction markets price directional conviction over a fixed window. The two can diverge significantly if traders anticipate catalysts, volatility shifts, or macro events that spot prices haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction traders see value the spot market is missing.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Polymarket and Predict may weight recent price action, on-chain signals, or macro sentiment differently. Smaller order books on one venue can amplify price swings from large trades, while deeper liquidity on another keeps odds more stable. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform friction, or genuine disagreement about BNB's direction. Monitoring both simultaneously helps you spot mispricing opportunities.

Major catalysts include BNB ecosystem announcements, Binance regulatory developments, and broader crypto market sentiment shifts. Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings often drag altcoins like BNB along, so macro crypto momentum is a key driver. On-chain activity, exchange inflows and outflows, and staking or token unlock events can also trigger repricing. Geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks affecting risk appetite will influence this market too. Watch for news from the Binance Smart Chain, DeFi protocol updates, or changes in BNB's utility that traders might interpret as bullish or bearish.