TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - June 27, 12PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will BNB/USDT close up or flat on June 27 at 12PM ET?

Volume:
$3,628

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 12PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 12PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 12PM ET

N/A
N/A
—
$2,287
$1,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 27 at 12PM ET. Resolution depends on the final close and open prices from Binance's official BNB/USDT trading pair, with 'Up' awarded if close >= open, and 'Down' if close < open.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Up if close >= open for the 1H candle starting June 27, 12PM ET on Binance BNB/USDT; Down otherwise.Primary resolution logic: Binance BNB/USDT pair official price data (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Retrieve the open price (O) and close price (C) from Binance BNB/USDT 1H chart
  • Resolve to Up if C >= O
  • Resolve to Down if C < O
  • Use only Binance BNB/USDT data; no alternative exchanges or pairs are valid

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle finalization timing: Resolution occurs only after the 1-hour candle is fully closed and finalized on Binance (at 1:00 PM ET on June 27)
  • Price equality: If close price equals open price exactly, market resolves to Up (per >= condition)
  • Data source unavailability: If Binance BNB/USDT data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution may be delayed or cancelled per platform discretion
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes at 1:00 PM ET on June 27, 2024, once Binance finalizes the candle dataOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds distill forward-looking sentiment into a single probability, whereas spot prices reflect only current supply and demand. On this market, traders are pricing in expected volatility, news flow, and macro conditions over the coming hours. If prediction odds lean heavily toward one direction, that signals asymmetric conviction among market participants—often ahead of spot price moves. Conversely, near-50/50 odds suggest genuine uncertainty. Comparing these odds to your own view of upcoming catalysts or technical levels can highlight mispricing opportunities before the market resolves.

Polymarket and Predict operate independent order books and attract different trader demographics, funding sources, and risk appetites. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Variations in liquidity depth, fee structures, and user interface design can also cause temporary price divergence. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and settlement risk mean spreads can persist. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify which venue offers better value for your directional bet and reveals where smart money is concentrating capital.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin volatility, and shifts in on-chain activity or exchange flows. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can also trigger sharp repricing if breached. Social media sentiment, competitor news, or platform updates may influence trader positioning. Monitoring these signals in real time helps you anticipate market moves and adjust your bet before the close. Liquidity and volume spikes often precede directional breakouts, signaling when conviction is building.