TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will BNB/USDT close up or flat on June 27, 10PM ET?

Volume:
$3,408

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 11:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,072
$2,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 27, 10PM ET

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 10PM ET. Resolution is binary: 'Up' if close >= open, 'Down' otherwise, using Binance's official BNB/USDT pair data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, source, and settlement methodology with no divergence detected.Primary resolution logic: Binance BNB/USDT 1-hour candle data (official exchange price feed)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to 'Up' if close price >= open price for the 1-hour BNB/USDT candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 10PM ET
  • Market resolves to 'Down' if close price < open price for the same candle
  • Resolution uses only Binance BNB/USDT pair; other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded
  • Close and Open values are read from Binance's 1H candle chart display once the candle data is finalized

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Close equals Open: Market resolves to 'Up' (the resolution rule specifies >= not just >)
  • Data finalization delay: Resolution occurs once Binance's 1-hour candle data is fully finalized; no partial or preliminary data is used
  • Exchange downtime or data unavailability: Not explicitly addressed in rules; if Binance data becomes unavailable, platform-specific dispute/cancellation procedures would apply
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle that begins June 27, 2024 at 10PM ET closes (at 11PM ET), once Binance finalizes the candle's close and open pricesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The BNB price movement market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Predict, offering a unified view of consensus odds on whether BNB will move up or down by the June 27 deadline. Traders on both platforms stake capital on their directional outlook, and the combined dashboard reflects real-time probability shifts as new information surfaces. This cross-platform lens reveals how different market microstructures and user bases converge on similar price expectations, while also highlighting where divergence emerges. Together, these platforms create a composite signal stronger than any single venue alone.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict attract different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices evolve. Polymarket's larger user base may react faster to breaking news, while Predict's smaller but focused community might price in longer-term fundamentals differently. Arbitrage opportunities between the two platforms create natural pressure to align prices, but friction—withdrawal delays, slippage, or platform-specific incentives—can sustain temporary gaps. Monitoring both venues reveals whether consensus is tightening or if material disagreement persists on the outcome.