TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying one outcome automatically adjusts the price of the other. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative trades of all participants, with each transaction moving the probability curve. Liquidity providers help maintain tight spreads, and the market price converges toward true probability as more volume flows through. This continuous pricing model allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by whether BNB's price moved up or down from the reference point at the specified time. The result is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Once the event is confirmed and the outcome is clear, the market settles automatically, and winning positions are paid out according to their final odds. Traders should monitor the countdown to ensure they close or adjust their positions before the deadline if needed.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, significant platform updates from Binance, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that often correlate with altcoins. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can trigger algorithmic trading and cascade moves. News about exchange volumes, token burns, or ecosystem developments may also influence trader conviction. Monitoring on-chain metrics, funding rates, and social sentiment can help traders anticipate shifts in market odds before they materialize.