TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about BNB's directional movement and often diverge from spot price momentum alone. While spot exchanges show real-time trading but no explicit outcome probability, this market prices in forward-looking expectations through explicit up or down contracts. Comparing the implied odds here to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether professional traders and retail participants expect a reversal, continuation, or consolidation by the resolution date.
On Predict, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—BNB Up or BNB Down—and the market price reflects the collective willingness to hold each position. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds update continuously as new trades flow in, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating liquidity and conviction. Higher volume typically narrows the spread, making it cheaper to enter or exit a position with confidence.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verifiable BNB price data from credible public sources. The result hinges on whether BNB's price has moved upward or downward relative to the reference level at market open. Once the event is observable and reported, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions settle accordingly.
Major catalysts include BNB ecosystem announcements, regulatory developments affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum price swings, macroeconomic data releases, and shifts in on-chain activity or staking metrics. Technical chart patterns, options expiry dates, and liquidation cascades on leveraged exchanges can also trigger sharp repricing. Monitoring news flow, social sentiment, and order book depth on this market helps traders anticipate momentum shifts before the deadline.