TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about BNB's direction on June 2 at 6AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term sentiment and event catalysts over the full time horizon. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to fundamental expectations for BNB's near-term performance.
On Polymarket, the BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET event is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares for each outcome trade continuously, and the price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome. As more capital flows into the Up or Down side, the price of that outcome rises and the opposing outcome falls. The current odds are displayed as a percentage, allowing traders to assess the market's conviction about BNB's directional move by the resolution timestamp.
The market resolves at Jun 2, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing BNB's price at the specified moment to establish whether it moved up or down. The resolution process is automated and final once the outcome is confirmed. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are defined in the market's terms to ensure clarity and prevent disputes.
BNB price action leading up to June 2, 6AM ET could be influenced by broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the BNB ecosystem, and macroeconomic events. On-chain activity, exchange inflows and outflows, and major partnerships or technical upgrades to the Binance Smart Chain could also drive volatility. Geopolitical developments and traditional market risk-off periods often correlate with crypto sell-offs. Traders should monitor these catalysts and adjust positions as new information emerges closer to the resolution date.