TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about BNB's direction by June 2, 4PM ET, expressed as implied probabilities. These odds often diverge from spot price momentum because prediction markets price in longer-term catalysts, regulatory developments, and macro sentiment rather than intraday technicals. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in tail risks or consensus bullish or bearish scenarios that spot traders may be overlooking.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome (Up or Down) trades as a separate token. The price of each outcome token reflects its implied probability, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Traders buy or sell these tokens based on their conviction, and the current market price directly represents what the crowd believes is the likelihood of BNB moving up versus down by the June 2 deadline. Liquidity and trading volume on the order book determine how easily you can enter or exit positions.
The BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing BNB's price at the specified time and date against a predetermined reference level. The outcome is binary: if BNB trades above the reference at 4PM ET on June 2, the Up outcome resolves to yes; if it trades below, the Down outcome resolves to yes. Only one outcome can resolve affirmatively, and all trader positions settle according to the final determination.
BNB price direction by June 2, 4PM ET could be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting major exchanges, broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, macroeconomic data, and institutional adoption trends. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows and whale accumulation patterns may signal conviction. Staking rewards changes, token burns, or ecosystem upgrades could also shift trader positioning. Geopolitical events and central bank policy shifts often trigger sector-wide crypto volatility that would impact BNB alongside the broader market.