TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET
kalshi
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,492

BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$605 to 609.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$504.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$695 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$505 to 509.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$510 to 514.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$555 to 559.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$570 to 574.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$575 to 579.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$580 to 584.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$585 to 589.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$590 to 594.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$595 to 599.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$600 to 604.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$610 to 614.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks BNB/USDT price movement on June 13, 2026 at 5 PM ET across two platforms using fundamentally different measurement methodologies. Kalshi uses a 60-second CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI average across 40 discrete price bands, while Polymarket uses Binance's 1-hour candle open/close comparison. The markets measure different things: absolute price levels vs. directional change.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use incompatible resolution methodologies: Kalshi measures absolute price level via CF Benchmarks RTI across 40 bands (all YES outcomes), while Polymarket measures directional change via Binance candle comparison (binary UP/DOWN). The markets cannot be reconciled as equivalent positions.Hero tip: Recognize these as separate markets with different risk profiles. Kalshi's all-YES band structure means it functions as a price-observation market with no downside resolution, while Polymarket offers true binary directional exposure. Cross-platform hedging is not viable here.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI falls within any of 40 overlapping $5 price bands ranging from <$505 to >$694.99 at 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. No NO resolution condition exists in the ruleset. Key quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is [band range], then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves UP if Binance BNB/USDT 1H candle close price >= open price; resolves DOWN otherwise. Uses finalized Binance candle data displayed at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Down.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI collected before 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. The official price is calculated by averaging all 60 RTI prices captured in the final minute before expiration. The price ranges are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, covering all possible price levels from below $505 to above $695. Each range outcome specifies both a lower and upper bound (e.g., $505-$509.99, $510-$514.99), and exactly one outcome will resolve Yes depending on which range contains the averaged price. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source for this determination.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about future price movement, not current spot levels. When this market shows strong odds favoring one direction, it signals that informed participants expect BNB to move that way before resolution. Spot price expectations embedded in perpetual futures or options markets often diverge from prediction odds because they price volatility and funding costs differently. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction traders are more bullish or bearish than derivatives markets, helping you gauge sentiment intensity and identify potential arbitrage signals.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum momentum that typically drag altcoins along, and platform-specific news from Binance. Macroeconomic data—interest rate decisions, inflation reports, or risk-on sentiment swings—can trigger sudden directional moves across digital assets. Technical breakouts or breakdowns near key support and resistance levels often accelerate trader positioning in prediction markets. Monitoring on-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions may also signal accumulation or distribution patterns that precede price moves, giving early signals to active traders.