TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET

Volume:
$248

BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about BNB's directional move by June 12, 7PM ET, and often diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and volatility. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus analyst views may signal either market inefficiency or forward-looking information.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective bets of all participants, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders adjust their positions ahead of the June 12, 7PM ET resolution, prices shift to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows bid-ask spreads and increases price discovery accuracy.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026. At that time, BNB's price at the specified snapshot moment determines which outcome wins. The event is structured as a simple binary: traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while the losing side forfeits their stake. Resolution timing is strict, so positions must be finalized before the snapshot closes. Early resolution or extension is not typical for this event type.

BNB price action is sensitive to broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and Binance-specific news. Regulatory announcements, exchange updates, or major DeFi liquidations can trigger sharp moves. Macroeconomic data releases, Fed policy signals, and traditional market volatility also ripple into crypto. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Technical levels and options expiry dates can amplify short-term swings. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate directional bias before June 12, 7PM ET.