TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders on Polymarket believe BNB will do by June 12, 3PM ET, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and on-chain sentiment. Markets often diverge from consensus because they price in tail risks, funding costs, and real-money incentives. Comparing Polymarket odds to major analyst calls or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to the broader crypto community's near-term outlook on BNB.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the event is priced through an automated market maker that continuously updates odds based on order flow and liquidity. Traders buy shares representing either outcome, and the price of each share reflects its implied probability. As traders accumulate positions, the market price adjusts to balance supply and demand. Volume and depth on Polymarket determine how quickly large orders move the odds, and the current price snapshot shows what marginal traders are willing to pay for exposure to BNB's directional move on that date.
BNB price action may be influenced by Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting the exchange or BNB token utility, broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic data, and on-chain metrics like staking or burn events. Earnings reports from Binance competitors, changes to BNB's tokenomics, and shifts in DeFi or NFT trading volumes could also drive volatility. Monitoring news, social media, and technical levels near the June 12 deadline will help traders anticipate moves that could shift market odds on Polymarket.