TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET

Volume:
$905

BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$484.99 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$485 to 489.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$490 to 494.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$495 to 499.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$500 to 504.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$505 to 509.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$510 to 514.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$555 to 559.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$570 to 574.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$575 to 579.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$580 to 584.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$585 to 589.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$590 to 594.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$595 to 599.99

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT price moves up or down during a specific 1-hour candle on June 11, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a simple open vs. close comparison on Binance, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI index with 27 discrete price bands covering the $485–$675+ range.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct price sources (Binance BNB/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI) and methodologies (1H candle open/close vs. 60-second average) create potential for conflicting outcomes. Kalshi's 27 price bands appear to cover all possible prices, raising questions about the No resolution condition.Hero tip: Traders should monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks price feeds leading up to 5 PM ET on June 11, 2026. If the two sources show significant divergence, Polymarket and Kalshi may resolve differently. On Kalshi, clarify whether prices outside the 27 bands (or any gap) resolve to No; if all prices resolve to Yes, the market may be mispriced.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance BNB/USDT 1H candle. Resolves Up if close >= open; otherwise Down. Uses official Binance data displayed on the trading graph once finalized.
  • Kalshi: 27 discrete price band resolution based on CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT. All 27 bands and above $674.99 resolve to Yes. No explicit No condition is specified in the provided rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Settlement is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI collected before 5 PM EDT on June 11, 2026. The price is divided into 40 distinct price ranges, each spanning $5, from $484.99 or below to $675 or above. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to produce the official settlement value. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Frequently asked questions

The BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading crypto prediction platforms. It displays the consensus probability for BNB price movement by the specified resolution time, tracks cumulative trading volume across both venues, and shows how market participants are positioning on directional outcomes. This cross-platform view reveals whether traders expect BNB to move up or down, helping you see aggregate market sentiment rather than isolated platform signals.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market structures, user bases, and liquidity conditions. Polymarket may attract retail traders with lower barriers to entry, while Kalshi draws institutional participants and operates under distinct regulatory frameworks. Differences in order flow timing, fee structures, and how each platform defines resolution criteria can create temporary price gaps. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but they may persist if liquidity is thin or if traders on each platform hold genuinely different views on the outcome.