TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about BNB's directional movement during the specified four-hour window. These odds often diverge from broader spot price sentiment because prediction markets price binary outcomes over a fixed timeframe, while spot expectations may reflect longer-term trends. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or social media sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in near-term volatility or fundamental shifts differently than the broader market narrative.
On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome (up or down) trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. Liquidity, recent BNB price action, and macro crypto sentiment all influence the pricing. As the event window approaches, prices typically tighten and become more volatile as resolution nears.
The market resolves at Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by BNB's price movement during the specified four-hour window on June 10, from 8:00PM to 12:00AM ET. The outcome hinges on whether BNB closes higher or lower at the end of the window compared to its opening price at 8:00PM ET. Traders should monitor BNB's price action closely during this exact timeframe, as even small movements near the close can determine the final outcome.
BNB price action during this window could be driven by broader crypto market moves, Bitcoin volatility, regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the BNB ecosystem, or major economic data releases. Liquidations in leveraged BNB positions, large exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in altcoin sentiment relative to Bitcoin dominance may also trigger directional moves. Traders should watch social media, on-chain metrics, and macro calendars for catalysts that could create volatility during the June 10 evening window.