TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about BNB's direction, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction about where BNB will trade by June 1, 3PM ET. Comparing the market's implied probability to traditional technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or macro sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of the resolution date.
On Polymarket, the BNB Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate demand for each side; as traders place orders, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. Share prices range from 0 to 1, where higher prices indicate stronger market conviction. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether BNB will move up or down by the specified time, with payouts determined by the final resolved outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by BNB's price direction relative to the specified snapshot. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly. Participants should monitor the countdown to ensure they understand the exact timing and any final trading windows before the market locks.
BNB's price direction by June 1, 3PM ET could be influenced by Binance ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting the exchange or token, broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, macroeconomic data, and on-chain activity metrics. Major exchange listings, partnership news, or security incidents could trigger sharp moves. Additionally, general crypto market volatility, institutional adoption trends, and geopolitical events may impact BNB's trajectory. Traders should track these catalysts to refine their directional thesis before the resolution deadline.