TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about BNB's direction by June 1, 1PM ET, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets with a defined resolution window. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to broader market sentiment from crypto analysts or on-chain data can reveal whether traders expect bullish or bearish momentum, or if consensus is divided near 50-50 odds.
On Polymarket, BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either the up or down outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of shares traded; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. Liquidity and order book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, influencing the tightness of bid-ask spreads and price discovery around the June 1 event.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether BNB has moved up or down relative to its price at the specified snapshot moment on June 1, 1PM ET. The resolution captures a single directional comparison, making it a straightforward binary event. Traders should be aware of the exact timing and reference price used to avoid ambiguity as the resolution date approaches.
BNB's price direction by June 1, 1PM ET could be influenced by broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, regulatory announcements affecting the Binance ecosystem, and macroeconomic events. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows or outflows, large whale transactions, and changes in staking or burning activity may also shift trader expectations. Additionally, developments in DeFi protocols built on BNB Chain, Binance platform updates, or shifts in institutional crypto adoption could drive volatility and alter the probability of an up or down outcome on Polymarket.