TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader expectations about BNB's price direction, often diverging from spot market sentiment. While spot exchanges show current trading activity, prediction markets isolate directional conviction for a specific time window. Traders betting on this market are pricing in their view of volatility, momentum, and macro conditions through July 10. Comparing the implied odds here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in tail risks or consensus bullishness that spot markets may not fully capture.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning side is determined by whether BNB's price closes above or below the reference level at the specified time. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the deadline once the data is finalized and verified.
Major catalysts for this market include BNB ecosystem announcements, Binance regulatory developments, and broader crypto market sentiment shifts. Bitcoin and Ethereum price action often drive altcoin momentum, so macro moves in leading assets can swing odds significantly. Staking or governance updates, exchange listing news, or macroeconomic data releases could trigger repricing. Intraday volatility spikes, liquidation cascades, or large whale trades may also create sharp moves in the final hours before the July 10 deadline.