TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,250

BNB Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 3, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$540 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$685 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
$936
Settled
No
kalshi

$735 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

$490 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$495 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$500 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$505 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$510 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$515 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$520 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$525 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$530 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$535 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$545 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$550 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$555 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$560 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$565 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$570 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$575 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$580 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$585 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$590 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$595 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USD price moves up or down at 5 PM ET on April 3, 2026. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle close vs. open comparison on Binance BNB/USDT, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average at the same timestamp. Both measure directional price movement but rely on different data sources and methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch and Data Source Fragility. Polymarket resolves on Binance BNB/USDT 1-hour candle open-close comparison; Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average against 49 discrete price thresholds. Different data sources, time windows, and methodologies create independent resolution paths.Hero tip: These markets measure price direction using incompatible benchmarks. Polymarket's binary outcome (Up if close >= open) is independent of Kalshi's tiered threshold outcomes. A single price event at 5 PM ET will produce two separate resolutions. Confirm your position's exposure to Binance spot price vs. CF Benchmarks index before settlement. Arbitrage risk exists if one platform's data lags or diverges from the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on BNB/USDT 1-hour candle close vs. open on Binance. Resolves Up if close >= open. Uses single exchange spot price data from Binance API/charting. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 49 tiered Yes/No outcomes based on CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second simple average before 5 PM EDT. Resolves Yes if average exceeds any threshold from $489.99 to $734.99. Uses institutional benchmark index, not exchange spot price. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold]...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.