TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET

Volume:
$278

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

 - Kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026? - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 28, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

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N/A
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—
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

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N/A
N/A
—
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

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N/A
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—
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
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—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
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—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
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—
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
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—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 28, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct data sources and measurement methodologies create independent resolution paths. Polymarket uses Binance BNB/USDT spot candle open/close; Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average across 40 predefined price bands.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with correlated but non-identical outcomes. Polymarket resolves binary (Up or Down); Kalshi resolves Yes if price lands in any covered band (which is highly likely given coverage). Watch for basis risk between Binance spot and CF Benchmarks index, especially in the final 60 seconds before 5 PM ET.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional outcome based on Binance BNB/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close >= open, Down otherwise. Single source of truth: Binance spot market price displayed on their trading interface.
  • Kalshi: Categorical outcome across 40 price bands using CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI index. Resolves Yes if 60-second average before 5 PM EDT falls within any defined band ($530-$534.99, $535-$539.99, ... $715-$719.99, or above $719.99). Covers nearly all realistic price levels.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.