TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,545

BNB Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 27, 2026

Closed: Apr 26, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 26, 2026?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different data sources (Binance spot vs. CF Benchmarks index), different measurement windows (1H candle vs. 60-second average), and different resolution structures (single binary vs. 40 tiered thresholds). While both measure BNB price at approximately 5 PM ET on Apr 26, 2026, the outcomes may diverge due to source price differences and timing precision.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with correlated but non-identical outcomes. Polymarket resolves based on whether Binance BNB/USDT close >= open for the 1H candle. Kalshi has 40 separate markets, each resolving Yes if CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds a specific threshold. Monitor both data feeds in real-time and do not assume arbitrage opportunities—basis risk is high due to source and timing differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary up/down resolution based on Binance BNB/USDT 1H candle. Resolves Up if close >= open; Down otherwise. Single data source (Binance), simple directional logic. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 40 separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold ($534.99 to $729.99). Each threshold is a distinct market. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [THRESHOLD] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.