TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA

Dashboards

Trending

BNB Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET

Name: BNB Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET
Start: 2026-04-23T21:09:22.489Z
End: 2026-04-25T22:00:00.000Z

Volume:

$142

Markets

Outcome

Chance %

Price

Liquidity

Volume

24h

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Two distinct measurement methodologies and data sources create incompatible resolution paths. Polymarket uses Binance BNB/USDT 1H candle open/close comparison; Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average price levels. A price movement that resolves Up on Polymarket may not resolve Yes on any Kalshi market, and vice versa.

Hero Tip:

Do not assume these markets are fungible. Polymarket is a directional bet (close >= open); Kalshi offers 40 granular price-level bets. Choose based on your view: if you predict directional movement, use Polymarket; if you predict a specific price range, use Kalshi. Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks data feeds independently to avoid surprises at settlement.

Critical Divergence Points:

Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution. Resolves Up if BNB/USDT 1H candle close price >= open price at 5 PM ET on April 25, 2026. Data source: Binance BNB/USDT pair only. Resolution occurs when 1H candle data is finalized on Binance.
Kalshi: 40 separate Yes/No markets at discrete price thresholds ($534.99 to $729.99). Each resolves Yes if CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second simple average before 5 PM EDT exceeds the specified threshold. Data source: CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI only.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.