TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,049

BNB Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNB price on Apr 17, 2026?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning at 5 PM ET on April 17, 2026. Kalshi offers 50 granular price-level markets (each resolving Yes if the 60-second CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI average exceeds specific thresholds), while Polymarket offers a single binary Up/Down market based on Binance's 1H candle close vs. open. The core question is identical: directional movement of BNB price at a specific time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution sources and methodologies. Polymarket resolves based on Binance BNB/USDT 1-hour candle open vs. close comparison, while Kalshi resolves based on CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average price thresholds. These are different data sources, different time windows, and different resolution criteria that will produce contradictory outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade this group across both platforms expecting consistent payouts. On Polymarket, you are betting on directional movement (up = close >= open). On Kalshi, you are betting on absolute price levels against 50 different thresholds. A market could resolve YES on one platform and NO on the other. Choose your platform carefully based on which resolution source you trust more.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to UP if BNB/USDT 1-hour candle close price >= open price on Binance at the specified time. Resolves to DOWN otherwise. Single binary outcome based on directional comparison. Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves to YES if the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds any of 50 different price thresholds ($479.99 through $724.99). Each threshold is a separate YES condition. No explicit NO condition provided. Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.