TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET

Volume:
$2,545

$470 or above

 - Kalshi

$470 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$470 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$695 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
$871
Settled
No
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 10, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$700 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
$497
Settled
No
kalshi

$705 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

$460 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$465 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$475 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$480 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$485 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$490 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$495 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$500 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$505 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$510 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$515 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$520 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$525 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$530 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$535 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$540 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$545 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$550 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$555 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$560 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB price moves up or down on April 10, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle close vs. open comparison on Binance BNB/USDT, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average at the same timestamp. Both markets resolve based on price movement at the identical moment, but measure against fundamentally different data sources and methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure BNB price movement using incompatible data sources (Binance spot 1H candle vs. CF Benchmarks 60-second BNBUSD_RTI average) and incompatible outcome structures (binary Up/Down vs. 50-tier Yes/No ladder). Both resolve at 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026, but the underlying price feeds and calculation windows differ materially.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Polymarket resolves based on Binance BNB/USDT candle open/close; Kalshi resolves based on CF Benchmarks professional index. Price divergence between these sources is common. If you trade both, hedge separately and monitor the CF Benchmarks feed independently. Timing of candle finalization on Binance vs. the 60-second averaging window on Kalshi could also create slippage.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution. Compares close price >= open price for the 1-hour BNB/USDT candle starting at 5 PM ET on April 10. Data source: Binance BNB/USDT spot pair. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 50-outcome Yes/No ladder. Resolves Yes if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds one of 50 thresholds ($459.99 to $704.99 in $5 increments). Data source: CF Benchmarks professional price index. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.