TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of BNB cryptocurrency at a specific future moment, dividing possible outcomes into narrow, consecutive price ranges. The resolution depends solely on where the price falls within these predefined bands at the exact time and date specified.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market resolving to 'Yes' is the one where this average falls within the stated range. Price data sources vary, but CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this event. At the expiration minute, 60 RTI prices are collected, averaged, and compared against the defined ranges to determine the outcome. The secondary rules consistently emphasize that while public sources like Google or Coinbase may offer guidance, they are not definitive for resolution purposes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about BNB's future price, which can diverge from current spot market expectations. While spot prices show immediate trading conditions, prediction markets incorporate broader market sentiment, news impact, and macroeconomic factors. Traders may price in different scenarios than spot traders, leading to variations. For example, if upcoming events suggest volatility, this market could show higher expected ranges. Comparing this market to spot prices offers insight into market sentiment beyond present conditions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts, with prices adjusting based on volume and open interest. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate trader view of BNB price range likelihood. Volume of $11,461 and 24-hour volume of $1 indicate liquidity and interest levels. As new information emerges — such as exchange updates or macroeconomic shifts — prices can shift rapidly, reflecting real-time reassessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of BNB at the exact time specified will determine which range wins, closing the market and paying out traders based on their positions.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 4, 2026. Major cryptocurrency exchange announcements, regulatory updates affecting Binance Coin, or broad market volatility may shift trader expectations. Economic data releases, especially those impacting global risk sentiment, often drive crypto price swings. Additionally, technological upgrades specific to BNB or competing networks can affect perceptions of its value. As Sep 4, 2026 approaches, any significant news flow will likely be priced into this market, potentially increasing volume and tightening or widening price ranges.