TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of BNB cryptocurrency at a specific future moment, using a precise measurement methodology to determine the outcome across multiple possible price ranges.
All markets share a common resolution methodology based on CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI). Exactly sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on September 18, 2026, the system records sixty individual RTI price readings. The final determining value is the simple average of these sixty readings. Each market has a distinct price range outcome threshold - ranging from $589.99 or below up to $830 or above - with a unique 'Yes' resolution condition for each specific range. All markets use identical data collection parameters and timing, ensuring consistent price determination across all range categories.
Comparing prediction market odds to spot price expectations reveals how traders believe future events will unfold. Currently, this market reflects a collective forecast of where BNB will trade in late 2026. This differs from simply looking at the current spot price, which only represents the present value. Do analysts and polls agree with the market's assessment? The prevailing sentiment among financial analysts regarding future cryptocurrency valuations is a key point of comparison, though their predictions are often less precise than the aggregated wisdom of a prediction market like this one.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and trades occur when there's a match. The price of each outcome reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, while those who misjudge the market risk losing capital. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of participants regarding the future BNB price.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome determined by the price of BNB at 5pm EDT on September 18, 2026. The final price will be verified against credible public reporting from established cryptocurrency exchanges. The market will settle to 100 if the actual BNB price falls within the winning range, and 0 for all other ranges. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the outcome based on publicly available data, providing transparency and trust in the resolution process.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly those impacting Binance and the BNB token, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could also influence investor sentiment towards risk assets like crypto. Technological developments within the BNB chain ecosystem, including upgrades or security breaches, could also shift the market. Finally, significant news regarding the overall adoption of cryptocurrencies or competing blockchain projects could impact the perceived value of BNB and, consequently, the prices in this market.