TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Binance Coin's price in US dollars will fall within specific price bands as measured by a real-time index on May 30, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect collective trader expectations for BNB's price at resolution, which often diverge from current spot prices and analyst forecasts. While spot markets price BNB in real time based on immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment and tail-risk assessments. Comparing the implied probabilities from Kalshi to consensus analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders expect significant appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation over the next eighteen months.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, BNB price range outcomes are priced as binary contracts, with each range assigned a probability-weighted price between 0 and 100 cents. Traders buy or sell contracts based on their conviction that BNB will settle within a given range by May 30, 2026. The price of each contract reflects the collective market estimate of that outcome's likelihood. Higher prices indicate stronger consensus that BNB will land in that range, while lower prices suggest traders view that outcome as less probable.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026, at which point the actual BNB price at 5pm EDT on May 30, 2026 is recorded and compared against the predefined price ranges. The outcome is determined by identifying which range contains the settlement price. All contracts corresponding to the correct range are paid out at full value, while all other contracts expire worthless. This binary settlement structure ensures clear, objective resolution tied to a specific moment in time.
Major catalysts for BNB price movement include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum price trends, changes in staking yields or tokenomics, adoption milestones for BNB Chain, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and geopolitical events impacting crypto sentiment. Technical developments such as network upgrades, security incidents, or shifts in institutional adoption could also influence where traders expect BNB to trade by May 2026. Monitoring these signals helps traders refine their price range forecasts.