TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether BNB will trade below $535 at 5pm EDT on May 29, 2026, based on the sixty-second average from CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI index. On Kalshi, the probability of BNB closing below $535 stands at 43.5%, while the probability of BNB closing at or above $535 is also 43.5%. The resolution will be determined by CF Benchmarks' official pricing data at the specified time on May 29, 2026, making the exact timestamp and index methodology critical to settlement.
Major catalysts for BNB include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements (which typically drive altcoin sentiment), changes in Binance Smart Chain adoption and developer activity, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and geopolitical events impacting crypto markets. Technical developments such as network upgrades, security incidents, or competing layer-one blockchain breakthroughs could also influence trader expectations. Long-dated events like this often see odds shift gradually as new information emerges, so monitoring BNB fundamentals, exchange volumes, and crypto market structure over the next 18 months will be essential for tracking prediction market repricing.