TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of Binance Coin on a specific date and time, measuring its average value over a one-minute window using CF Benchmarks' real-time index to determine which price range it falls within.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregate trader conviction about BNB's price range at the specified time, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst price targets. While spot markets react to immediate news and sentiment, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations over the 18-month horizon to June 2026. Comparing the implied probabilities here to consensus analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral scenarios relative to prevailing expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this BNB price range event is priced as a set of mutually exclusive outcome brackets, each with its own bid-ask spread and implied probability. Traders buy or sell shares in specific price ranges, with payouts determined by where BNB settles at 5pm EDT on June 4, 2026. The platform's order book displays real-time liquidity and pricing for each bracket, allowing participants to express granular views on BNB's likely trading range during that specific window.
This market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, at which point the official BNB price at 5pm EDT on June 4, 2026 is recorded. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains BNB's spot price at that exact moment. Resolution occurs shortly after the timestamp passes, and traders holding shares in the winning bracket receive their payout while losing positions expire worthless. The precision of the timing window ensures a clear, verifiable settlement.
Major catalysts for BNB price movement through June 2026 include regulatory developments affecting Binance and the broader crypto ecosystem, Bitcoin and Ethereum price trends, adoption of BNB-based applications and Layer 2 solutions, macroeconomic shifts, and institutional inflows into digital assets. Binance platform updates, token burns, staking yield changes, and competition from other blockchain ecosystems also influence BNB's trajectory. Geopolitical events and central bank policy decisions affecting risk appetite can drive significant repricing across the entire crypto market, including BNB.